The climatological peak of activity is September 10, when there is the greatest likelihood of seeing a named cyclone in either the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico or Atlantic Ocean. An average September produces nearly 30% of a season's named storms, more than 40% of all hurricanes and more than 60% of major hurricanes.
Has there ever been a hurricane in September?
Since 1842, September has recorded 316 Tropical Storms and 541 hurricanes in the Northern Atlantic. 25 of those reached Category 5 strength. This is more than any other month! There have only been 37 category 5 storms in recorded history.
How likely is a hurricane in the Bahamas in September?
When was the last hurricane in the Bahamas?
Dorian was one of four Category 5 hurricanes to strike the Bahamas, the others being the 1932 Bahamas hurricane, the 1933 Cuba–Brownsville hurricane, and Hurricane Andrew in 1992. The most recent hurricane to strike the archipelago was Hurricane Nicole in 2022.
Why is September the peak of hurricane season?
September 10 sits in this timeframe and is deemed the 'peak' of the Atlantic hurricane season as the environment turns more favorable for tropical development. Wind shear, which inhibits tropical development, often decreases during this timeframe.